Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Team's struggles should not come as a surprise

Florida's win last night on the road in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, was much-needed and helped to provide a bright spot during what has been a disappointing season thus far.  Florida moved to 11-9 overall and 4-3 in the SEC.  Florida's record highlights the inconsistency that has plagued this year's team all season.  For instance, they began conference play with three straight wins, then proceeded to drop three in a row.  Coach Billy Donovan has been critical of his team's inability to play a complete game.  Donovan said, “It's not just one thing.  It's just the consistency and the discipline to do it for 40 minutes.  We do it sometimes, but we don't do it enough.  Over a course of 40 minutes, with those kind of breakdowns, inevitably you're in a really, really tight game like we were [on Saturday].”*  The Gators lost to Ole Miss, 72-71, on Saturday.

But the inconsistency goes deeper than inconsistency on the court.  It has started with Donovan and his staff's lack of ability to land a legitimate big man.  And by "big man" I mean a player over 6'10" and weighing 230+ pounds; someone who primarily plays in the post.  The last player to fit that criteria was Marreese Speights, who played for UF from 2006-2008 and now is in his sixth year in the NBA (currently plays for the Golden State Warriors).  Florida does have John Egbunu (6'11", 266 pounds) sitting out this season as a redshirt after transferring from the University of South Florida.  In addition, Schuyler Rimmer (6'10", 250 pounds) recently transferred to UF from Stanford and will be eligible following the Fall 2015 semester.  The Gators have signed four recruits for next season, but no one over 6'9".  Certainly with Florida's history in the last 10-15 years, recruits should be flocking to Gainesville.  Donovan and his staff need to do a better job in that regard.

The suspensions of Chris Walker, Jon Horford, Zach Hodskins, and Brandone Francis have been alarming.  Walker was suspended for the first two regular season games for a violation of team rules.  Horford and Hodskins were suspended for the South Carolina game on January 7 for violations of team rules.  Francis, a freshman, was ruled academically ineligible for the entire season.  Injuries have been too many to count, which hurts team chemistry.  I still believe that the team's chemistry issues stem from the lack of leadership.  I would have expected Michael Frazier II to step into that role, but it does not seem like he has.

 Lastly, the graduation of seniors Casey Prather, Will Yeguete, Patric Young, and Scottie Wilbekin from last year's squad have hurt this year's team.  The Gators face an uphill battle to make the NCAA Tournament and will most likely be content with an NIT appearance.  But if they can play consistently for 30-35 minutes, they might surprise some teams.

* Quote from: http://www.onlygators.com/01/27/2015/gameday-florida-gators-at-alabama-crimson-tide-billy-donovan-struggling-with-inconsistent-roster/#ixzz3QAZogl1o

Thursday, December 18, 2014

My reflections after the first 10 games

The Gators are in the middle of final exams week, which is the perfect time for a reflection following the team's first 10 games.  The Gators are 6-4, after playing an extremely tough schedule so far.  Losses to Miami (FL), Georgetown, North Carolina, and Kansas have been acceptable defeats.  Over the last few seasons, coach Billy Donovan has beefed up the Gators' non-conference schedule in preparation for the grueling SEC season and eventual NCAA Tournament.  Donovan recently said that these early season losses have helped this year's team because it has forced the players to address issues quickly and have adversity hit early on rather than later in the season.  Had Donovan's team been undefeated right now after having played low-tier Division 1 opponents, it might not have served the team well in the long run.  So, the fact that Florida is unranked at present is not particularly alarming.

Lack of depth is really plaguing the Gators.  Only having eight scholarship players is hampering them.  The transfer of Dillon Graham (will be attending Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University) and the injury to DeVon Walker (torn ACL) in the offseason have been bigger losses than expected.  Senior walk-on Jacob Kurtz has been the unsung hero through the first 10 games, as he is averaging nearly 24 minutes per game and contributing almost five points and five rebounds in those games.  

Health has played a large part in the Gators' slow start.  Redshirt junior Dorian Finney-Smith's hand injury probably cost the Gators against UM and redshirt junior Eli Carter's foot injury has kept him out of four games thus far.  Add in sophomore Chris Walker's two-game suspension to start the season and there are three losses that have contributed to the four losses the Gators have suffered so far.

The team's offensive statistics have not been impressive so far:

Points per game (68.5): 179th in Division 1
Rebounds per game (36.1): 143rd in Division 1
Assists per game (14.3): 100th in Division 1
Field goal percentage (.450): 128th in Division 1

On the flip side, and it comes as no surprise considering Donovan's reputation as a defense-first coach, the Gators are 15th in Division 1 in points allowed at 56 per game.  The players just need to bring the same defensive mentality to the offensive end and the whole rest of the season could be different.

The Gators return to action Saturday when they face Wake Forest in the Orange Bowl Classic in Sunrise, Florida.  While the Demon Deacons are not the formidable opponent they were three or four years ago, they are an ACC team with plenty of young talent.  And whenever your coach is Danny Manning, you know that you will be successful eventually.  Following Saturday's game, the team will be off until the 30th when they play in-state rival Florida State in Tallahassee.  Then, defending national champion Connecticut visits Gainesville on January 3 before the conference season begins four days later.

Saturday, July 19, 2014

DeVon Walker tears ACL, former Gator Patric Young signs with New Orleans Pelicans

Incoming junior forward DeVon Walker tore his ACL on Friday, sources told CBSSports.com.  Walker will miss the entire 2014-15 season as he rehabs his injury.  Walker's loss will impact the Gators on the defensive end as the lanky 6'6" wing player emerged as a trusty perimeter defender as the season progressed.  Due to the news of his injury being recent, the details of how his injury occurred have not been made available.  Walker averaged 2.4 points per game and 1.2 rebounds per game last season.

In other news, Patric Young signed a two-year deal with the New Orleans Pelicans after they signed him as an undrafted free agent.  Both years are guaranteed.  The 6'9", 240-pound big man has averaged 7.4 points per game and 8.0 rebounds per game in the NBA Summer League.    

Saturday, May 3, 2014

Offseason catchup

Compared to the Kentucky Wildcats' offseason, it has been a lean one for the Gators.  However, there has been one addition to the roster for next season.  And his last name might ring a bell with Florida fans: Jon Horford.  The 6-foot-10, 250-pound Michigan transfer will be able to play immediately for the Gators because Michigan did not offer a graduate program for his major.  Horford's career has been cut back by injuries, but he will provide an experienced body in the paint, having played in 107 games for the Wolverines.  Last season, he averaged 3.8 points and 4.2 rebounds per game, while playing 13.8 minutes a game.  A good article by the Gainesville Sun's Kevin Brockway   details how Al's little brother is not worried about following in his footsteps.  I had been wondering if the Gators would be able to land a transfer/late recruit and they certainly scored on this one.  In terms of frontcourt depth, with the addition of Horford, the Gators now have Dorian Finney-Smith, Damontre Harris (assuming he is eligible), Alex Murphy (eligible in the spring), Chris Walker, and incoming freshman Devin Robinson.

In my opinion, Billy Donovan will either finish his career with the University of Florida or take an NBA head coaching job.  With five NBA teams without coaches (New York Knicks, Minnesota Timberwolves, Utah Jazz, Detroit Pistons, and Los Angeles Lakers) and possibly more, it is hard to speculate if Donovan has considered any of those positions.  Other college coaches discussed for these jobs include Kentucky coach John Calipari and Connecticut's Kevin Ollie.  I do not expect those two to leave their present situations.  Donovan loves the University of Florida, has a great relationship with the athletic director, Jeremy Foley, and has been able to raise his family in the area.  Being at a place for 18 years, like Donovan has, will make it tough to leave.  But Donovan does like the 24/7 focus on basketball that the NBA provides.  He would not have to worry about players going to class or be hindered by the 20-hour-a-week practice schedule put in place by the NCAA.  Growing up a Knicks fan on Long Island, Donovan probably would strongly consider the Knicks job if they came asking.  With Steve Kerr likely New York's choice, I just do not see Donovan leaving this offseason.  People might say that since he lost four senior starters and that the squad might take a few seasons to get back to competing for Final Fours and National Championships, it is the right time to leave for the NBA.  I just think that his love for the university and program is too much.  As far as I have heard, no NBA team has an offer or even contacted him.  I firmly expect Donovan to be coaching in Gainesville next season.

Sunday, April 6, 2014

My reflections after a heartbreaking Final Four loss

Last night's 63-53 loss to the UConn Huskies was an extremely tough one to take.  The Gators had won 30 straight and all the stars were aligned to win another two to capture the NCAA title.  But, it wasn't meant to be.  Back on December 2, Florida lost on a buzzer-beater by Shabazz Napier in Storrs, Connecticut.  That was our last loss before last night.  So in some ways, it's a tougher loss to accept because we lost to the Huskies earlier in the season.  UConn coach Kevin Ollie, in his first NCAA Tournament, looks to be a worthy successor to legend Jim Calhoun.

After spending over 100 hours watching and preparing for Gator games this season, it's hard for me not to take it more personally than other fans.  This Florida team was special.  Four senior starters is unique in today's upper-tier college basketball landscape.  These four seniors all had their ups and downs during their careers.  Patric Young steadily improved each season on all fronts and will go down as the greatest hustler in Gator history, but disappointed many scouts because he came in with such high expectations.  Scottie Wilbekin became a starter following his sophomore season and made himself into the SEC Player of the Year this season, but was suspended twice at the beginning of the last two seasons.  Casey Prather increased his points per game by nearly seven points this season, but struggled with injuries and concussions throughout his career.  Will Yeguete was a defensive force and, like Young, provided great effort, but, like Prather, struggled with injuries and was never really able to maximize his potential.

Next season, the Gator rotation will look drastically different.  Presumably, Kasey Hill will take over the point guard spot, Michael Frazier II will keep his 2-guard spot, Dorian Finney-Smith will move from sixth man to starting small forward, Chris Walker (assuming he returns) will start at the power forward position, and the center spot is up for grabs with Damontre Harris (assuming he gets back on the team) looking to be the favorite.  Or they could go with Hill, Frazier II, DeVon Walker, Chris Walker, and Dorian Finney-Smith.  With Dillon Graham and Eli Carter coming back from medical redshirts, the backcourt is, once again, filled.  Jacob Kurtz will play a big role in the frontcourt next season.

The recruits coming in are: Devin Robinson (6'8", 180 pounds) from Chesterfield, Virginia; Brandone Francis (6'5", 205 pounds) from Jacksonville, Florida; Chris Chiozza (5'11", 180 pounds) from Memphis, Tennessee; and Zach Hodskins (6'2", 175 pounds) from Alpharetta, Georgia.

Two glaring weaknesses of Hill are his shooting and strength.  The solutions are to shoot hundreds of shots per day and to get himself in the weight room.

All in all, well done to the guys for giving us Gator fans a season to remember.  Coach Billy Donovan produced, arguably, his best coaching job.  The way the Gators were able to rebound from all the distractions at the beginning of the season, with Wilbekin's suspension, Hill and DeVon Walker's injuries, and Chris Walker's uncertainty, was remarkable.

The offseason will be key for many returning and departing Gators.  For the four seniors, they will be training and preparing for their professional basketball careers.  Young and Wilbekin are likely to be on NBA rosters next season, while Prather and Yeguete are destined for Europe.

Thanks for all the memories not just this season, but the previous three.  All the best.        

Sunday, March 16, 2014

SEC Tournament: Gators meet "tweaked" Wildcats in SEC Championship game

(1-seed) #1 Florida Gators (31-2, 18-0 SEC) vs. (2-seed) Kentucky Wildcats (24-9, 12-6 SEC)
Georgia Dome (capacity: 26,000), Atlanta, Georgia. 3:15 p.m.

Opinion/Analysis

Three keys to beating Kentucky:

1.  Control the Harrison twins

Twins Andrew and Aaron Harrison have turned the corner in terms of their play.  In the two games they've played in the SEC Tournament, they've finally been able to justify the recruiting hype: Andrew (23 points and 17 assists) and Aaron (36 points).  Scottie Wilbekin and Michael Frazier II will have their work cut out for them, as the twins stand 6'6".

2.  Get the Kentucky big men in foul trouble

While Kentucky's top six players are as good as any top-6 in the country, the rest of the rotation is suspect.  Marcus Lee and Alex Poythress are UK's frontline options off the bench (Willie Cauley-Stein is their sixth man) and it would benefit the Gators if they can get Dakari Johnson, Julius Randle, or Cauley-Stein into foul trouble.  If Florida is able to do that, I like their chances.  Likewise, it will be key for the Gator big men to stay out of foul trouble.  Yesterday, Dorian Finney-Smith fouled out and Will Yeguete played most of the game with four fouls.  Look for freshman Chris Walker to get more minutes if the players in front of him start picking up fouls.

3.  Win the battle at the free throw line

The Gators shoot 66.6% from the line, compared to the Wildcats' 67.9%.  The Wildcats are one of the top teams in the country in terms of free throws made and taken.  I fully expect this game to come down toto the final minutes, if not the final seconds.  Free throws will play a huge role in who comes away with the win.

Broadcast Information

TV: ESPN; Brad Nessler (play-by-play), Jimmy Dykes (analyst), and Shannon Spake (sideline)
Radio: WRUF/Gator IMG Sports Network; Mick Hubert (play-by-play) and Mark Wise (analyst)
Streaming: ESPN3.com

Saturday, March 15, 2014

Gators face Volunteers in SEC Tournament Semifinal

(1-seed) #1 Florida Gators (30-2, 18-0 SEC) vs. (4-seed) Tennessee Volunteers (21-11, 11-7 SEC)
Georgia Dome (capacity: 26,000), Atlanta, Georgia. 1:00 p.m.

Opinion/Analysis

The Gators, who won their quarterfinal game against Missouri yesterday, 72-49, face the Tennessee Volunteers in the first semifinal of the SEC Tournament.  The Vols defeated South Carolina yesterday, 59-44.  In the two meetings this season between the traditional rivals, the Gators have outscored the Volunteers 134-99.  However, the Vols have won five
straight games and look to have positioned themselves for an NCAA Tournament berth.  Certainly, a win today over Florida would solidify their spot in the field of 68.

The Gators will need to get off to a better start today than they did yesterday, when they were tied at halftime.  Tennessee is riding high with confidence and offers size at every position.  As always, the battle between Jarnell Stokes (6'8", 260 pounds) and Patric Young (6'9", 240 pounds) will be a must-see.  The task of defending their top scorer, Jordan McRae, will go to Casey Prather or Scottie Wilbekin.

Look for Chris Walker to get some minutes due to the Vols' bigger frontline and the possibility of foul trouble for the Gator bigs.  The benches for both teams will be the difference today.

Both teams might be somewhat fatigued, but once the teams step onto the court, it's time to compete.  I expect this contest to be tight throughout, so it's going to be key for the Gators to expect a tough battle from the Vols.

Broadcast Information

TV: ABC; Brad Nessler (play-by-play), Jimmy Dykes (analyst), and Shannon Spake (sideline)
Radio: WRUF/Gator IMG Sports Network; Mick Hubert (play-by-play) and Mark Wise (analyst)
Streaming: ESPN3.com

Saturday, March 8, 2014

Florida looks for perfect SEC record on Senior Day against rival Kentucky

Game 31: #25 University of Kentucky Wildcats (22-8, 12-5 SEC) at #1 University of Florida Gators (28-2, 17-0 SEC)
Stephen C. O'Connell Center (capacity: 11,548), Gainesville, Florida. 12:00 p.m.

Opinion/Analysis

The Gators are looking to record the first undefeated SEC regular season in the conference's history as they welcome the Kentucky Wildcats to Gainesville on what is sure to be an afternoon filled with emotion.  It is Senior Day, so Casey Prather, Scottie Wilbekin, Will Yeguete, and Patric Young will all play their final game in the O'Dome.  For all four players, they've experienced the ups and downs.  For Prather, the amazing improvement this season was very unexpected based off his first three seasons where he came off the bench for 10-15 minutes a game.  Wilbekin has been suspended twice, but he has upped his game since becoming the starter during his junior season and is now a candidate for SEC Player of the Year.  Yeguete has struggled with knee injuries but he has remained a committed defender and continually goes up against taller forwards and holds his own.  Young has been a starter for three seasons, but this is by far his most consistent campaign and he is the most likely of the four seniors to be playing on an NBA team next season.

According to Kevin Brockway, the Gators beat writer for the Gainesville Sun, the current senior class has won 112 games, three SEC regular season titles (including this season), appeared in three Elite Eights, and has 54 SEC wins.

While the game will be high with emotion, the Gators have a chance to make history.  They have also won 22 straight games and 31 straight home games.  But the Wildcats will not want to suffer the first UF sweep since 2007.  They defeated Alabama on Tuesday, 55-48, but did not shoot the ball like they will need to to beat the Gators.  Kentucky will need to get the Gator big men in foul trouble if they hope to gain an advantage.  Kentucky's frontline is much bigger than Florida's, so Young,Yeguete, and Chris Walker will have their work cut out for them.  If Michael Frazier, who scored 37 points (11 3-pointers) against South Carolina on Tuesday, can replicate that form then it could be a long day for the Wildcats, especially if Wilbekin and Prather produce their usual games.  Sixth man Dorian Finney-Smith is averaging 12.7 points per game over his last three games after struggling for a few weeks with his shot, which affected other parts of his game.

The Wildcats are 5-3 on the road in conference (5-4 overall) and it will be interesting to see if they have been able to correct their assist-to-turnover problem.  Andrew Harrison has struggled with his shooting all season and James Young has been off and on from deep.  If the Gators can get the Wildcats in foul trouble, it will be tough for Kentucky to maintain pace with Florida.

Kentucky coach John Calipari continues to believe in his team and his players continue to remain confident that they can make a run in the SEC Tournament and the Big Dance.  This will be a tough game for Florida, certainly the toughest opponent they could have faced as they try to go undefeated in conference.  I expect it to remain close throughout, but free throws will prove to be the difference.  If it comes down to that, the Gators will be in good shape.  

Projected starting lineups and reserves:

KENTUCKY

#2 Aaron Harrison (6'6", 218 lbs. FR) Season stats: 13.6 points per game, 3.3 rebounds per game
#5 Andrew Harrison (6'6", 215 lbs. FR) 10.9, 3.5 assists per game
#1 James Young (6'6", 215 lbs. FR) 14.4 ppg, 4.2 rpg
#30 Julius Randle (6'9", 250 lbs. FR) 15.4 ppg, 10.5 rpg
#44 Dakari Johnson (7'0", 265 lbs. FR) 4.7 ppg, 3.5 rpg

Reserves

#15 Willie Cauley-Stein (7'0", 244 lbs. SO) 7.5 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 2.9 blocks per game
#22 Alex Poythress (6'8", 239 lbs. SO) 6.1 ppg, 5.1 rpg
#3 Jarrod Polson (6'2", 182 lbs. SR) 1.1 ppg, 0.7 rpg
#00 Marcus Lee (6'9", 215 lbs. FR) 2.4 ppg, 1.4 rpg
#25 Dominique Hawkins (6'0", 193 lbs. FR) 0.9 ppg, 0.8 rpg
#4 Jon Hood (6'7", 215 lbs. RS-SR) 1.4 ppg, 0.5 apg

FLORIDA

#5 Scottie Wilbekin (6'2", 176 lbs. SR) Season stats: 12.9 points per game, 3.9 assists per game
#20 Michael Frazier II (6'6", 195 lbs. SO) 13.1 ppg, 3.5 rpg
#24 Casey Prather (6'6", 212 lbs. SR) 14.5 ppg, 5.3 rpg
#15 Will Yeguete (6'8", 230 lbs. SR) 5.2 ppg, 5.2 rpg
#4 Patric Young (6'9", 240 lbs. SR) 10.7 ppg, 6.2 rpg

Reserves:

#10 Dorian Finney-Smith (6'8", 212 lbs. RS-SO) 9.3 ppg, 6.9 rpg
#0 Kasey Hill (6'1", 181 lbs. FR) 5.5 ppg, 3.0 apg
#25 DeVon Walker (6'6", 195 lbs. SO) 3.0 ppg, 1.3 rpg
#23 Chris Walker (6'10", 220 lbs. FR) 1.8 ppg, 1.7 rpg

Broadcast Information

TV: CBS; Tom McCarthy (play-by-play) and Jim Spanarkel (analyst)
Radio: Gator IMG Sports Network; Mick Hubert (play-by-play) and Mark Wise (analyst)

Saturday, February 22, 2014

Florida expects tough contest at Ole Miss

Game 27: #2 University of Florida Gators (24-2, 13-0 SEC) at Ole Miss (16-10, 7-6 SEC)
C.M. "Tad" Smith Coliseum (capacity: 8,867), Oxford, Mississippi. 12:00 p.m.

Opinion/Analysis

The Gators travel to Oxford to face the Ole Miss Rebels, a team that defeated Florida in the SEC Championship game last season.  The Rebels, under head coach Andy Kennedy, are led by two players: Marshall Henderson and Jarvis Summers.  How those two players play will determine the outcome of today's game.  Henderson, who averages 4.5 3-pointers per game, is the epitome of a love/hate player: If you're an Ole Miss fan, you love him; however, if you're an opposing fan, you hate him.  His antics can drive fans crazy (including myself) and I cannot hide the fact that I dislike him.  But he's a great scorer and I have to give him credit for that.  Summers isn't too shabby, either, as he averages 17 points per game.  Ole Miss' frontcourt players are bigger than Florida's, but they don't really give the Rebels much in terms of offense.

The Gators, who have a chance to move up to #1 in the country with a win today, come into today's game a little hobbled.  Michael Frazier (wrist) might see his shooting affected, while backup point guard Kasey Hill (groin) is out.  The Gators are going for their 19th-straight victory.  The Gators are 5-3 at Ole Miss under head coach Billy Donovan.

The Rebels will be fired up for this game after dropping Tuesday's contest to Kentucky at home.  If Henderson is hitting shots and the crowd starts going crazy, the Gators might be in trouble.  Dorian Finney-Smith needs to get his rhythm back, as he's 0/18 from 3-point range in the last six games.  

Ole Miss has lost four of its last five games, but averages more 3-pointers (8.1) per game than any team in the SEC, but also gives up the most threes (7.0) in the conference.

Projected starting lineups and reserves:

FLORIDA

#5 Scottie Wilbekin (6'2", 176 pounds, SR) Season stats: 13.6 points per game, 3.7 assists per game
#20 Michael Frazier II (6'6", 195 pounds, SO) 12.1 ppg, 3.4 rpg
#24 Casey Prather (6'6", 212 pounds, SR) 15.7 ppg, 5.4 rpg
#15 Will Yeguete (6'8", 230 pounds, SR) 5.3 ppg, 5.3 rpg
#4 Patric Young (6'9", 240 pounds, SR) 10.7 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.0 block per game

Reserves

#10 Dorian Finney-Smith (6'8", 212 pounds, RS-SO) 9.1 ppg, 7.1 rpg
#0 Kasey Hill (6'1", 181 pounds, FR) 5.6 ppg, 3.2 apg *WILL NOT PLAY (GROIN)
#23 Chris Walker (6'10", 220 pounds, FR) 1.6 ppg, 1.2 rpg
#25 DeVon Walker (6'6", 195 pounds, SO) 2.7 ppg, 1.4 rpg
#30 Jacob Kurtz (6'6", 210 pounds, JR) 2.0 ppg, 1.9 rpg

OLE MISS

#32 Jarvis Summers (6'3", 186 pounds, JR) Season stats: 17.0 points per game, 38 assists per game
#22 Marshall Henderson (6'2", 177 pounds, SR) 19.4 ppg, 2.2 apg
#10 LaDarius White (6'6", 211 pounds, JR) 7.9 ppg, 3.3 rebounds per game
#34 Aaron Jones (6'9", 220 pounds, JR) 6.3 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 2.1 blocks per game
#23 Dwight Coleby (6'9", 236 pounds, FR) 1.9 ppg, 1.6 rpg

Reserves

#3 Derrick Millinghaus (5'10", 172 pounds, SO) 7.5 ppg, 2.4 apg
#13 Anthony Perez (6'9", 213 pounds, SO) 7.3 ppg, 3.2 rpg
#11 Sebastian Saiz (6'9", 233 pounds, FR) 4.8 ppg, 5.8 rpg
#4 Demarco Cox (6'8", 276 pounds, JR) 4.5 ppg, 4.1 rpg
#1 Martavious Newby (6'3", 210 pounds, SO) 1.9 ppg, 2.2 rpg

Broadcast Information

TV: CBS; Ian Eagle (play-by-play) and Doug Gottlieb (analyst)
Radio: Gator IMG Sports Network; Mick Hubert (play-by-play) and Bill Koss (analyst)
Streaming: CBSSports.com